2021-22 Panini Spectra Basketball Set Analysis

Interesting Points:

Assuming the below per case hit ratios for Color Blasts (and a total of 2,500 cases as calculated below) we can determine a likely print run for each card in the 25 card set:

• 1 per 5 cases = 2,500 / 5 / 25 = 20
• 1 per 10 cases = 2,500 / 10 / 25 = 10
• 1 per 20 cases = 2,500 / 20 / 25 = 5
• 1 per 25 cases = 2,500 / 25 / 25 = 4

Some other interesting points:

• 1,086 1/1s in the set –> 1 per 2.3 cases
• 44 1/1s Rookie Jersey Autographs Nebula Logoman cards in the set –> 1 per 56.8 cases
• 22,071 Rookie Jersey Autographs in the set –> 8.8 per case
• 265 Rookie Dual Patch Autographs in the set –> 1 per 9.4 cases

Case Breakdown (On Average):

• 8 Boxes per Case
• 16 Cards per Box
• 4 Autos & 4 Parallels per box (on average)

Detailed Breakdown (Raw Checklist Numbers in Brackets)

• -> ~12 Base cards per box [12.07]
• -> ~3 Autos cards per box [2.92]
• -> ~0 Memorabilia cards per box [0]
• -> ~1 Auto + Memorabilia cards per box [1.01]

2021-22 Panini Spectra Basketball Set Analysis:

Total #d Cards: 157,382
Total # Base Cards: 247,146 (75.4% of Cards)
Total # Autos: 59,781 (18.2% of Cards)
Total # Memorabilia Cards: 0 (0% of Cards)
Total # Auto + Memorabilia Cards: 20,775 (6.3% of Cards)

Total # Boxes/Cases:

59,871 Autographs & 22,601 Autograph + Memorabilia Cards in the release.
–> 82,382 Autographed Cards in total.
–> FOTL RPAs are an extra hit in the box –> 82,382 – 1,826 = 80,556 Autographed Cards excluding FOTL RPAs
–> Autographed Cards per Box = 4
–> Autographed Cards per Case = 4 x 8 = 32
–> 80,556 / 32 Cards per Case = 2,517 cases
–> 2,517 cases x 12 base cards per box x 8 boxes per case = 241,632 base cards in total
–> 241,632 – 75,000 #’d base cards = 166,632 non #’d base cards
–> 1,400 different base cards in set = 166,632 / 1,400 = 119 base card print run
–> Assume 2,500 cases incl FOTL
–> = 1,826 boxes of FOTL = 228 cases of FOTL