National Treasures (17-18) Basketball Set Analysis

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National Treasures (17-18) Basketball Set Analysis

The NT¬†checklist finally went up today so here is the National Treasures (17-18) Basketball Set Analysis. Let me know if I’ve missed something or made an error.

Interesting Points:

  • FOTL messes everything up as the ~169 cases of it (675 boxes) have a bunch of the other hits in it.
  • Some analysis is provided below to show how many RPAs per case exists for the regular NT minus the FOTL cases
  • Vince Carter has the most cards in the release!!

Case Breakdown (On Average):

  • 4 Boxes per Case
  • 1 Packs per Box
  • 10 Cards per Box
  • 8 Auto or Memorabilia
  • 1 Base
  • 1 Printing Plate or Insert (???)

Detailed Breakdown (Raw Checklist Numbers in Brackets)

  • 1 Base per Box [0.96]
  • 2 Autos per Box [2.07]
  • 5 Memorabilia per Box [7.72]
  • 1 Auto + Memorabilia per Box [1.25]
  • 1 Printing Plate [Not in Checklist]

National Treasures (17-18) Basketball Set Analysis:

Total #d Cards: 131,668
Total # Base Cards: 14,000 (10.6% of #d Cards)
Total # Autos: 30,275 (23.0% of #d Cards)
Total # Memorabilia Cards: 69,039 (52.4% of #d Cards)
Total # Auto + Memorabilia Cards: 18,354 (13.9% of #d Cards)

Total # Boxes/Cases:

FOTL: 45 Players with #/15 RPAs
-> 675 boxes = ~169 cases [168.75]
14,000 Base Cards in Set
-> 14,000 / 4 Base Cards per Case = 3,500 cases [3,657 based on 131,668 / 9 cards per box / 4 boxes per case]
Subtract FOTL Cases -> 3,500 – 169 = 3,331 non-FOTL Cases

Card Set Hit Ratios:

  • 1/1s = 0.37 per case (1 in every 2.69 cases)
    -> 0.09 per box (1 in every 10.74 boxes)
  • Colossal Logoman = 0.06 per case (1 in every 17.86 cases)
    -> 0.01 per box (1 in every 71.43 boxes)
  • Rookie Logoman = 0.06 per case (1 in every 17.68 cases)
    -> 0.01 per box (1 in every 70.71 boxes)
  • Logoman (Combined) = 0.11 per case (1 in every 8.88 cases)
    -> 0.03 per box (1 in every 35.53 boxes)
  • Logoman Auto = 0.01 per case (1 in every 76.09 cases)
    -> 0 per box (1 in every 304.35 boxes)
  • Rookie Logoman Auto = 0.01 per case (1 in every 76.09 cases)
    -> 0 per box (1 in every 304.35 boxes)
  • Logoman Auto (Combined) = 0.03 per case (1 in every 38.04 cases)
    -> 0.01 per box (1 in every 152.17 boxes)
  • RPA (excl Logoman Autos and FOTL /15) = 2.47 per case (1 in every 0.4 cases)
    -> 0.62 per box (1 in every 1.62 boxes)
  • RPA (excl Logoman Auto and FOTL /15 + adjusted for FOTL /15 Cases) = 2.39 per case (1 in every 0.42 cases)
    -> 0.6 per box (1 in every 1.67 boxes)

Total # of Hits by Team(#d Cards)
https://i0.wp.com/www.130point.com/uploads/releases/2017-18-NT-BKB/Team%20Hits.jpg?w=1068Interactive List

Top Teams % Chance of Hit (#d Card) / Case
https://i0.wp.com/www.130point.com/uploads/releases/2017-18-NT-BKB/Team%20Hits%20%25.jpg?w=1068

Top 50 Players by Total # of Hits (#d Cards)
https://i2.wp.com/www.130point.com/uploads/releases/2017-18-NT-BKB/Player%20Hits.jpg?w=1068Full List

Top 30 Players % Chance of Hit (#d Card) / Case
https://i0.wp.com/www.130point.com/uploads/releases/2017-18-NT-BKB/Player%20Hits%20%25.jpg?w=1068

PLEASE NOTE:

The figures and information presented above are based purely on the number of cards per box/case on average. The values presented per player and per team are not guaranteed to be reflected in every case, instead they represent the average odds for all cases produced. They do not take into account variations in these numbers or the methods/processes used to package the product. All data presented here has been derived from the Panini checklist for the product and therefore all errors present in the checklists will be present in the figures above. This data is for information only and should not be considered authoritative in any way.