2018-19 Panini Flawless Basketball Set Analysis

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2018-19 Flawless Basketball Set Analysis

Please see below for the 2018-19 Flawless Basketball Set Analysis.

Interesting Points:
– Michael Porter Jr has not autos, no RPAs, no Logoman and only 43 base cards including FOTL…
– There is at least one RPA per box on average (possibly more in some cases)
– A Logoman of any type falls 1 per 24 cases approximately
– Production run is 200 FOTL cases and 2000 normal cases

Case Breakdown (On Average):

  • 2 Boxes per Case
  • 10 Cards per Box
  • 8 Autos / Auto + Memorabiliua Cards per Box
  • 1 Memorabilia Cards per Box
  • 1 Base Gem Card per Box

Detailed Breakdown (Raw Checklist Numbers in Brackets)
-> ~1 Numbered Base per Box [1.09]
-> ~6 Autos per Box [5.63]
-> ~1 Memorabilia per Box [1.03]
-> ~2 Auto + Memorabilia per Box [2.26]

2018-19 Flawless Basketball Set Analysis:
Total #d Cards: 41168
Total # Base Cards: 4475 (10.9% of #d Cards)
Total # Autos: 23175 (56.3% of #d Cards)
Total # Memorabilia Cards: 4223 (10.3% of #d Cards)
Total # Auto + Memorabilia Cards: 9295 (22.6% of #d Cards)

Total # Boxes/Cases:
17000 numbered base cards in the set and 5 Base Cards per Case
-> 4475 base cards / 2 cards per case = 2237.5 cases
-> 200 FOTL Base Cards = 200 FOTL Cases
-> ~2000 regular Flawless Cases

Card Set Hit Ratios:
-> 1/1 = 0.45 per case (1 in every 2.21 cases) / 0.23 per box (1 in every 4.41 boxes)
-> Logoman (All) = 0.04 per case (1 in every 24.18 cases) / 0.02 per box (1 in every 48.35 boxes)
-> Logoman = 0.02 per case (1 in every 55 cases) / 0.01 per box (1 in every 110 boxes)
-> Rookie Logoman = 0 per case (1 in every 244.44 cases) / 0 per box (1 in every 488.89 boxes)
-> Dual Logoman = 0.01 per case (1 in every 146.67 cases) / 0 per box (1 in every 293.33 boxes)
-> Logoman Autographs (All) = 0.02 per case (1 in every 61.11 cases) / 0.01 per box (1 in every 122.22 boxes)
-> Rookie Logoman Autographs = 0.01 per case (1 in every 200 cases) / 0 per box (1 in every 400 boxes)
-> Rookie Autographs (All) = 0.31 per case (1 in every 3.27 cases) / 0.15 per box (1 in every 6.55 boxes)
-> Rookie Patch Autographs = 1.61 per case (1 in every 0.62 cases) / 0.81 per box (1 in every 1.24 boxes)
-> Rookie Championship Tags Autographs = 0.01 per case (1 in every 95.65 cases) / 0.01 per box (1 in every 191.3 boxes)
-> Rookie Championship Tags = 0 per case (1 in every 366.67 cases) / 0 per box (1 in every 733.33 boxes)
-> Championship Tags = 0.02 per case (1 in every 55 cases) / 0.01 per box (1 in every 110 boxes)
-> Championship Tags Autographs = 0.03 per case (1 in every 32.35 cases) / 0.02 per box (1 in every 64.71 boxes)
-> Larry O’Brien Trophy Gems = 0 per case (1 in every 220 cases) / 0 per box (1 in every 440 boxes)
-> Laundry Tag Autographs = 0.01 per case (1 in every 129.41 cases) / 0 per box (1 in every 258.82 boxes)

Total # of Hits by Team(#d Cards)
Team-Hits.jpgInteractive List

Teams % Chance of Hit (#d Card) / Case
Team-Hits-Percentage.jpg

Top 50 Players by Total # of Hits (#d Cards)
Player-Hits.jpgFull List

Top 50 Players % Chance of Hit (#d Card) / Case
Player-Hits-Percentage.jpg

PLEASE NOTE:
The figures and information presented above are based purely on the number of cards per box/case on average. The values presented per player and per team are not guaranteed to be reflected in every case, instead they represent the average odds for all cases produced. They do not take into account variations in these numbers or the methods/processes used to package the product. All data presented here has been derived from the Panini checklist for the product and therefore all errors present in the checklists will be present in the figures above. This data is for information only and should not be considered authoritative in any way.

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